Detecting Data-Driven Robust Statistical Arbitrage Strategies with Deep Neural Networks

Ariel Neufeld, Julian Sester, Daiying Yin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

We present an approach, based on deep neural networks, for identifying robust statistical arbitrage strategies in financial markets. Robust statistical arbitrage strategies refer to trading strategies that enable profitable trading under model ambiguity. The presented novel methodology allows one to consider a large amount of underlying securities simultaneously and does not depend on the identification of cointegrated pairs of assets; hence it is applicable on high-dimensional financial markets or in markets where classical pairs trading approaches fail. Moreover, we provide a method to build an ambiguity set of admissible probability measures that can be derived from observed market data. Thus, the approach can be considered as being model free and entirely data driven. We showcase the applicability of our method by providing empirical investigations with highly profitable trading performances even in 50 dimensions, during financial crises, and when the cointegration relationship between asset pairs stops to persist.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)436-472
Number of pages37
JournalSIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics
Volume15
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

  • Numerical Analysis
  • Finance
  • Applied Mathematics

Keywords

  • deep learning
  • model uncertainty
  • robust statistical arbitrage
  • trading strategies

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